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石油市場(chǎng)又一次期待OPEC救市，這一樂(lè)觀情緒促使油價(jià)在周一下午上漲4%，周二上午又上漲超過(guò)2%。

上周油價(jià)暴跌使之成為多年來(lái)油價(jià)最低迷的一周后，這樣的樂(lè)觀情緒令人欣喜。

上周，全球新冠病毒的確診病例不斷增加，市場(chǎng)擔(dān)憂病毒會(huì)在中國(guó)以外的國(guó)家繼續(xù)擴(kuò)散。部分人認(rèn)為病毒在三月會(huì)更加肆虐，分析家也在上周再次下調(diào)石油需求預(yù)期。

上周有傳言O(shè)PEC提議為其成員國(guó)在現(xiàn)有協(xié)議下再減產(chǎn)100萬(wàn)桶/天，而俄羅斯遲疑不決，市場(chǎng)擔(dān)心OPEC將無(wú)力彌補(bǔ)石油需求減少造成的損失。

另一傳言是即使沒(méi)有俄羅斯共同參與，部分OPEC成員國(guó)也將自行減產(chǎn)。但是OPEC否認(rèn)了這些傳言。

這周，日益臨近的3月5-6日的OPEC會(huì)議使交易商們備受鼓舞，因?yàn)闀?huì)議可能做出減產(chǎn)的決定。雖然俄羅斯總理普京曾謹(jǐn)慎地指出當(dāng)前油價(jià)對(duì)俄羅斯財(cái)政預(yù)算影響不大，但他今日表示會(huì)與OPEC合作，不過(guò)未具體說(shuō)明俄羅斯會(huì)遵守何種協(xié)定。

然而，現(xiàn)實(shí)情況是新冠病毒正對(duì)石油工業(yè)步步緊逼，繼續(xù)扼殺經(jīng)濟(jì)活動(dòng)，阻攔旅行，最后，將需求剝離已經(jīng)庫(kù)存充足的全球石油市場(chǎng)。

由于本周美聯(lián)儲(chǔ)和其他中央銀行將盡快采取行動(dòng)，減輕該病毒對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)的影響，促使交易商重塑信心。

來(lái)源：OilPrice

Oil Prices Climb As Traders Expect Action From OPEC

The oil markets are expecting yet again that OPEC will be the hero of oil prices, and this optimism has sent oil prices up 4% on Monday afternoon, and up more than 2% on Tuesday morning.

The optimism is a welcomed event after last week’s falling prices that saw oil have the worst week in years.

Last week, the concern was that the coronavirus was continuing to spread to countries other than China, with the number of confirmed coronavirus cases also continuing to climb. Analysts lowered again oil demand projections last week, with some suggesting that March will see even more virus fallout than February did.

While rumors had surfaced last week that OPEC had proposed to its members an additional 1 million bpd cut from its current agreement, Russia had been dragging its feet and markets were nervous that OPEC would not be able to do enough to offset the loss in demand.

Another rumor surfaced that several OPEC members would cut production on their own, without Russia, if need be, but OPEC denied the rumors.

This week, traders are invigorated as we approach the March 5-6 OPEC meeting date that could result in additional cuts and Russian President Vladimir Putin said today that he would cooperate with OPEC+, although he was careful to point out that the current oil prices suit Russia’s budget just fine. Putin offered no specifics as to what kind of deal Russia would comply with.

The reality, however, is that COVID-19 is still breathing down the neck of the oil industry, threatening to continue to stifle economic activity, disrupt travel, and ultimately, strip demand out of the already inventory-rich global oil markets.

Traders also have renewed faith this week that the Federal Reserve—and other central banks—will act soon to mitigate the effects that the virus is having on the economy.